Amateur or elite, there's one opponent we all face on equal terms: heat. And with climate change, it's showing up on more and more of our races.
The real question is no longer how to avoid it — but how to make it an ally.
Heat isn't in your head — it's in the numbers
- Climate Central (2025): of 221 marathons analyzed worldwide, 86% will see conditions worsen by 2045 — including the 7 majors.
- PLOS ONE (2012): marathon performance peaks between 3.8 and 9.9°C; beyond, it drops off.
- Case study — Chicago 2007, 25°C: 30.7% DNFs, 66 runners hospitalized, one death.
Performance vs temperature
On the body side, Cyril Schmit describes two mechanisms: a cardio/peripheral effect (blood rushes to the skin, the heart overcompensates) and a nervous/central effect (the brain eases off to protect you). And no, sweating a lot isn't a flaw: it's often the sign of a well-acclimated body.
The good news: heat can also help you progress
It all depends on the distance:
- On short efforts (800 to 1500 m): about +1°C ≈ +5% power.
- On long efforts: the opposite, roughly −0.5% per degree, tapering off.
The right move based on your prep time
- No time → pre-cooling + strategic hydration.
- 2 to 3 days → familiarization: arrive on site in advance.
- More than 3 days → real acclimation: repeated sessions in hot conditions.
True or bullshit? Sorting the advice you read everywhere
- Cold bath / pre-cooling before a hot start → true, it works.
- Training in thick clothing to adapt → useful but to be framed with caution.
- Ice in the mouth during the race → real but modest effect, especially on ultras.
- Depriving yourself of water or taking diuretics to habituate the body to dehydration → dangerous, to be banned.
- Eating hyper-protein to better tolerate heat → social media myth.
What if the problem also came from the races themselves?
Heat raises a real organizational question: earlier starts, reinforced aid stations… and maybe, tomorrow, night marathons. In the meantime, summer remains the season when most amateurs wreck their prep — I laid out the right reflexes in training on vacation.